Tuesday, August 29, 2017

Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Nov 25, '16, 9:15 pm
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Default Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016...n-recount.html

Green Party presidential candidate Jill Stein officially filed a request to election officials Friday to conduct a recount in the battleground state of Wisconsin.

State Elections Commission Administrator Mike Haas said Stein filed the request around mid-afternoon Friday, about an hour and a half ahead of a 5 p.m. CST deadline.

“The Commission is preparing to move forward with a statewide recount of votes for President of the United States,” Haas said in a press release. “We have assembled an internal team to direct the recount, we have been in close consultation with our county clerk partners, and have arranged for legal representation by the Wisconsin Department of Justice.”
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Old Nov 25, '16, 9:18 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

In October, November 8th couldn't come fast enough for me just so we could all move on with our lives and leave the bitterness behind.

Now I can't wait until January 20th, 2017. That is a looooooooong two months away.
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Old Nov 25, '16, 9:31 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Maybe if Ms. Stein hadn't run for President as a Green Party candidate, Hillary Clinton would have received more votes.
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Old Nov 25, '16, 10:02 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Dr. Stein doesn't believe there is any real evidence of fraud, and she doesn't believe that a recount will change the outcome of this election. She's simply sending people out on a frustrating fishing expedition in the weeks leading up to Christmas while wasting millions of dollars and undermining the public's trust in their local election process.
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Old Nov 25, '16, 10:30 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Again Clintons money machine push the buttons...
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Old Nov 26, '16, 5:36 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Trust in the system has already been undermined. Recounts will not serve any purpose.

I find it troubling that the Russian got who they wanted, but then of course so did the KKK.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 6:00 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael Mayo View Post
Trust in the system has already been undermined. Recounts will not serve any purpose.

I find it troubling that the Russian got who they wanted, but then of course so did the KKK.
Maybe your post is enigmatic on purpose but it strikes one as inflammatory rhetoric.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 6:01 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Maybe next time Jill Stein won't be able to deceive people into voting for her, as we see now she's not about serving the country or thhe environment at all. Nobody knows who she she is trying to serve here.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 6:55 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by queenofheartscv View Post
Maybe your post is enigmatic on purpose but it strikes one as inflammatory rhetoric.
Indeed!
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Old Nov 26, '16, 7:06 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ion View Post
Again Clintons money machine push the buttons...
This isn't pushed by the Clintons.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 7:19 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by ThinkingSapien View Post
This isn't pushed by the Clintons.
Only states where trump won are being pushed for a recount.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 8:30 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by queenofheartscv View Post
Only states where trump won are being pushed for a recount.
Which doesn't mean the Clintons are responsible. Clinton voters, on the other hand...
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Old Nov 26, '16, 9:02 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Clinton Campaign Will Participate in Stein’s State Recounts

Hillary Clinton’s campaign lawyer announced plans to participate in vote recounts of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan if they take place, yet doesn’t expect to overturn the election of Donald Trump as president.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/ar...state-recounts
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Old Nov 26, '16, 9:18 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Recount would have to happen pretty quickly, from the article:
The state is working under a federal deadline of December 13 to complete the recount.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 9:53 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by jtav View Post
Which doesn't mean the Clintons are responsible. Clinton voters, on the other hand...
Clinton Campaign Agrees to Back Jill Stein's Election Recount Effort: Lawyer

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016...effort-n688601
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Nov 26, '16, 9:54 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Ok so the last I saw for the projected electoral vote was:
Mr. Trump 290
Mrs. Clinton 232

Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes, say Mrs. Clinton wins on recount then we have
Mr. Trump 280
Mrs. Clinton 242

She still loses the election, so, in reality, what is the point

This is as bad as the popular vote issue, close to 2,000,000 for Mrs. Clinton.
Approximately 219,000,000 eligible voters
only about half are registered: 109,500,000
of that only about 55% voted: 60,225,000
Margin of error is around 2% for either manual or electronic count add to that the number of fraudulent votes (the dead, undocumented, identity theft etc...) is around 0.5% we have
1,204,500 + 301,125 = 1,505,625 so the 2,000,000 is still so close the margin of error that statistically Mr. Trump and Mrs. Clinton are tied in the popular vote; thus, It is potentially likely that a manual recount in all 50 states would swing the popular vote to Mr. Trump.

(Sad really, approximately 28% of the eligible voters (easy math 1 in 4) decided this crucial vote, sad, so sad... how many people in our Military have died and been mangled; how many Military families have suffered the loss of husbands, wives, daughters, sons, loved ones so that 160 million people could sit on their backends instead of taking the 10 minutes of their lives to help run this country. )

Good or bad, I'll be glad when this is finally over.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 9:57 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by Michael Mayo View Post
Trust in the system has already been undermined. Recounts will not serve any purpose.

I find it troubling that the Russian got who they wanted, but then of course so did the KKK.
Well, both are going to be disappointed since Trump will not be persecuting minorities even though that's the false narrative pushed the left since they can't win on the arguments.

It sounded like Mr. Putin is happy to work to restore relations with the USA which Barack Obama, Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton messed up.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 9:58 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by LiamQ View Post
Dr. Stein doesn't believe there is any real evidence of fraud, and she doesn't believe that a recount will change the outcome of this election. She's simply sending people out on a frustrating fishing expedition in the weeks leading up to Christmas while wasting millions of dollars and undermining the public's trust in their local election process.
Many in the Green Party are running from what she's doing.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 10:14 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by RosyAnne View Post
In October, November 8th couldn't come fast enough for me just so we could all move on with our lives and leave the bitterness behind.

Now I can't wait until January 20th, 2017. That is a looooooooong two months away.
I would hope that would help, but I am wondering if the abandoning of logic is not systemic in the bitterness of those whose candidate lost. I get the bitterness. I do not understand losing the ability to reason in the passion to insult Trump.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 10:21 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

White House insists hackers didn't sway election, even as recount begins

The Obama administration said it has seen no evidence of hackers tampering with the 2016 presidential election, even as recount proceedings began in Wisconsin.

“We stand behind our election results, which accurately reflect the will of the American people,” a senior administration official told POLITICO late Friday.

“The federal government did not observe any increased level of malicious cyber activity aimed at disrupting our electoral process on election day,” the official added. “We believe our elections were free and fair from a cybersecurity perspective.”

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/1...recount-231849

It may only be wishful thinking from the Left that the results of the election were affected by outside.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 11:03 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by gilliam View Post
Clinton Campaign Will Participate in Stein’s State Recounts

Hillary Clinton’s campaign lawyer announced plans to participate in vote recounts of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan if they take place, yet doesn’t expect to overturn the election of Donald Trump as president.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/ar...state-recounts
Perhaps I am dense, but what is the point? To those who favor this, Trump won. Get over it.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 11:12 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by mary bobo View Post
Perhaps I am dense, but what is the point? To those who favor this, Trump won. Get over it.
Two immediate points come to mind. One, leftists want to make Trump presidency appear illegitimate.

And two, after all the braggadocio about Trump having no chance of winning, they just can't get over it. They'll hold on to whatever little scrap of hope there is that somehow, things will still turn out the way they want.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 11:19 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by mary bobo View Post
Perhaps I am dense, but what is the point? To those who favor this, Trump won. Get over it.
Well, Trump did say the election was rigged. Just saying.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 11:31 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

What a difference losing an election can make:

https://americanlookout.com/jpb-flas...mocracy-video/
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Old Nov 26, '16, 11:42 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by DeniseNY View Post
Clinton Campaign Agrees to Back Jill Stein's Election Recount Effort: Lawyer

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016...effort-n688601
Thanks for the link.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 11:46 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

If trump does it its unamerican, a threat to democracy, and being a sore loser.

When somebody else does it its heroic?
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Old Nov 26, '16, 12:08 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by mary bobo View Post
Perhaps I am dense, but what is the point? To those who favor this, Trump won. Get over it.
It's a way to verify if he did in fact win.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 12:35 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by Padres1969 View Post
It's a way to verify if he did in fact win.
It's a waste of money, but yes, it is a way to verify the results as remaining unchanged. I mean, there's a nearly 50,000 vote gap in Wisconsin. Probably better to try and overturn Michigan which has a narrower margin - I think about 11,000 votes. Pennsylvania has a nearly 70,000 vote gap.

The problem for Stein is that she'd need to overturn all three to move the election to Clinton's favor and then hope for about seven of eight faithless electors to be cast her way to force it to the House of Representatives and then hope the Republican-controlled House decides to elect her President.

What a waste of time and money.

Maybe the hope is that one of the three state get overturned so people think Trump won illegitamately and pound that over and over for the next four years.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 12:56 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by z_0101 View Post
This is as bad as the popular vote issue, close to 2,000,000 for Mrs. Clinton.
Approximately 219,000,000 eligible voters
only about half are registered: 109,500,000
of that only about 55% voted: 60,225,000
Margin of error is around 2% for either manual or electronic count
How do you figure the margin of error is 2%?

That would be true if you are using a random sample size of around 2500. (Note I said random and very few polls are)

But when your sample is 130,000,000 actual voters it would be much less than .01%, (.0003% by my calculations) presuming all the votes have been counted the first time.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 1:56 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by z_0101 View Post
Ok so the last I saw for the projected electoral vote was:
Mr. Trump 290
Mrs. Clinton 232.
Actually, it is Trump 306 and Clinton 232 right now
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ele...ident/map.html
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Nov 26, '16, 2:01 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

I support a recount when the margin is so close. And I'm a trump supporter. What I don't support is the double standard that applies and if trump had initiated a recount what would have happens. I also don't like the media acting like this is any sort of story with legs.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 4:27 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by ThinkingSapien View Post
This isn't pushed by the Clintons.
yes. Hillary has signed on now too.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 4:51 pm
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stylteralmaldo View Post
It's a waste of money, but yes, it is a way to verify the results as remaining unchanged. I mean, there's a nearly 50,000 vote gap in Wisconsin. Probably better to try and overturn Michigan which has a narrower margin - I think about 11,000 votes. Pennsylvania has a nearly 70,000 vote gap.

The problem for Stein is that she'd need to overturn all three to move the election to Clinton's favor and then hope for about seven of eight faithless electors to be cast her way to force it to the House of Representatives and then hope the Republican-controlled House decides to elect her President.

What a waste of time and money.

Maybe the hope is that one of the three state get overturned so people think Trump won illegitamately and pound that over and over for the next four years.
It's their money, not mine.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 6:28 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Fair is fair, it's time to pursue charges against Hillary Clinton.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 6:33 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by Seamus L View Post
Fair is fair, it's time to pursue charges against Hillary Clinton.
First things first, Donald has to get into the whitehouse before that can even happen. He's saying he won't pursue charges, but who knows.

That may be another reason why there's so much scrambling to find whatever way possible to keep him outta there (death threats, vote recounts, whatever's next). Maybe it's not just Hillary that needs to keep a lid on things, there might be a whole lot of folks in the swamp that don't want any outsiders nosing around.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 7:14 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
How do you figure the margin of error is 2%?

That would be true if you are using a random sample size of around 2500. (Note I said random and very few polls are)

But when your sample is 130,000,000 actual voters it would be much less than .01%, (.0003% by my calculations) presuming all the votes have been counted the first time.
General statistics?
Schneier on Security
Error Rates of Hand-Counted Voting Systems (link)
The error rate for hand-counted ballots is about two percent.
All voting systems have nonzero error rates. This doesn't surprise technologists, but does surprise the general public. There's a myth out there that elections are perfectly accurate, down to the single vote. They're not. If the vote is within a few percentage points, they're likely a statistical tie. (The problem, of course, is that elections must produce a single winner.)
Survey Sample Sizes and Margin of Error (link)
The margin of error in a sample = 1 divided by the square root of the number of people in the sample
Estimation and Margins of Error (this link talks about the general polling error; however, still pertinate to the 2% I stated) herein however, they give 3% at the 95% confidence interval, I reduced the 3% to 2% based upon other peer reviewed journals, one such was:
Hand counts of votes may cause errors, says new Rice U. study
Research on postelection auditing procedures finds error rates of up to 2 percent
Amy Hodges, Rice News (link)
In this document they cite 1% to 2.5% potential error https://yali.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/2016/01/Assessing-and-Verifying-Election-Results-Summary-Document.pdf (PDF - Link)
The 0.5% potentially fraudulent votes... I had intended to edit that to say "invalid" votes... that I will admit to being more my own number; however, based upon a lot of reading. The biggest problem here being that there appears to be very little data to actually support one side or the other when it comes to the potentially fraudulent/invalid votes.

You get sites such as FactCheck.org that claim that there is no fraud (link) and The Washington Post (link) and yet their evidence is that, while there have been a few "isolated cases, there really isn't any evidence" to sites and documents that claim a much higher percentage -upwards to 2 and 3%. Then we have President Obama outright telling undocumented persons not to worry about being deported if they go vote because no-one will know that they voted and with around 11 million undocumented workers in the US and President Obama apparently encouraging theme to vote (CAF Thread here: Re: Voter fraud: California man finds 83 ballots stacked outside his home Post#14 ) and we do know that there are cases of documented voter fraud (Washington times (link))

So, to arrive a the 0.5%, I took all of the figures of potentially invalid votes together and split the difference, erring on the side of caution, then took a simple root-mean-square as one would do for progressive errors in measurement.

I have degrees in Mathematical Sciences and Analytical Chemistry - kind of my stock in trade to know this information.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 7:24 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
It's their money, not mine.
I read that in PA it would take millions in taxpayer money.
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Old Nov 26, '16, 8:26 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hoosier Daddy View Post
I support a recount when the margin is so close. And I'm a trump supporter. What I don't support is the double standard that applies and if trump had initiated a recount what would have happens. I also don't like the media acting like this is any sort of story with legs.
This whole post-election nonsense stands on ZERO principle. This is only securing the Rust Belt for Trump in 2020 and will help us win back some Senate seats in 2018.

Just let them waste their money and let's keep the cameras rolling.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 6:35 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
It's their money, not mine.
Quote:
Originally Posted by AbideWithMe View Post
I read that in PA it would take millions in taxpayer money.
I'm from Wisconsin, and having been through some very tight election cycles in the recent past, I can attest that if the margin is within a certain range, the taxpayers will foot the bill. However, if it is over a certain threshold, then the candidate would foot the bill.

I presume that similar laws are in place in Michigan and Pennsylvania. The margin is wide enough in Wisconsin that Stein would be footing the bill. Probably likewise in Pennsylvania. However, the margin is very close in Michigan so the taxpayers there would likely have to pay.

Regardless of who's paying, it is a waste of money. Stein will not be the next President of the US.....unless of course that really isn't her goal.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 6:43 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Stylteralmaldo View Post

Regardless of who's paying, it is a waste of money. Stein will not be the next President of the US.....unless of course that really isn't her goal.
It almost assuredly is not her goal.
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  #41  
Old Nov 27, '16, 6:55 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Stylteralmaldo View Post
I'm from Wisconsin, and having been through some very tight election cycles in the recent past, I can attest that if the margin is within a certain range, the taxpayers will foot the bill. However, if it is over a certain threshold, then the candidate would foot the bill.

I presume that similar laws are in place in Michigan and Pennsylvania. The margin is wide enough in Wisconsin that Stein would be footing the bill. Probably likewise in Pennsylvania. However, the margin is very close in Michigan so the taxpayers there would likely have to pay.

Regardless of who's paying, it is a waste of money. Stein will not be the next President of the US.....unless of course that really isn't her goal.
Making the history books or setting some precedent maybe.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 7:00 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

I wouldn't mind a national recount. Limiting the votes to actual legal, living, citizens of the USA....
Hillary might not like it though....
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Old Nov 27, '16, 8:09 am
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I wouldn't mind a national recount. Limiting the votes to actual legal, living, citizens of the USA....
Hillary might not like it though....
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  #44  
Old Nov 27, '16, 8:58 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Hoosier Daddy View Post
I wouldn't mind a national recount. Limiting the votes to actual legal, living, citizens of the USA....
Hillary might not like it though....
Maybe it's time for this side of the people to go protest. What a farce it is to drag the nation into this fiasco and for what????
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Old Nov 27, '16, 9:59 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Stylteralmaldo View Post
I'm from Wisconsin, and having been through some very tight election cycles in the recent past, I can attest that if the margin is within a certain range, the taxpayers will foot the bill. However, if it is over a certain threshold, then the candidate would foot the bill.

I presume that similar laws are in place in Michigan and Pennsylvania. The margin is wide enough in Wisconsin that Stein would be footing the bill. Probably likewise in Pennsylvania. However, the margin is very close in Michigan so the taxpayers there would likely have to pay.

Regardless of who's paying, it is a waste of money. Stein will not be the next President of the US.....unless of course that really isn't her goal.

Thanks, I hope that's the case in PA if a recount occurs.
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Nov 27, '16, 10:16 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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I wouldn't mind a national recount. Limiting the votes to actual legal, living, citizens of the USA.....
Now how exactly would you do that? And making sure there is no voter suppression at the same time? They have been deporting legal citizens too, or haven't you heard?
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Old Nov 27, '16, 10:34 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Stein states her reason for a recount in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania as:
Quote:
“We are raising money to demand recounts in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania-- three states where the data suggests a significant need to verify machine-counted vote totals,” the Stein campaign writes. “We cannot guarantee a recount will happen in any of these states we are targeting. We can only pledge we will demand recounts in those states.”
What a coincidence that these are three states Trump won that Clinton expected to win.
Hmm. In Pa, Trump won by 70,000 votes. Trump lost NH by less than 3,000 votes, and Minnesota by roughly 40,000 votes, and Stein isn't curious about them.
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  #48  
Old Nov 27, '16, 10:39 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by JonNC View Post
Stein states her reason for a recount in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania as:

What a coincidence that these are three states Trump won that Clinton expected to win.
Hmm. In Pa, Trump won by 70,000 votes. Trump lost NH by less than 3,000 votes, and Minnesota by roughly 40,000 votes, and Stein isn't curios about them.
Yes, This.
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  #49  
Old Nov 27, '16, 10:40 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by RosyAnne View Post
First things first, Donald has to get into the whitehouse before that can even happen. He's saying he won't pursue charges, but who knows.

That may be another reason why there's so much scrambling to find whatever way possible to keep him outta there (death threats, vote recounts, whatever's next). Maybe it's not just Hillary that needs to keep a lid on things, there might be a whole lot of folks in the swamp that don't want any outsiders nosing around.
And this. I agree January 20th can't come quick enough for me either.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 10:56 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by z_0101 View Post
General statistics?
[indent]Schneier on Security
Error Rates of Hand-Counted Voting Systems (link)[indent]The error rate for hand-counted ballots is about two percent.
All voting systems have nonzero error rates.
One would have to look at the actual ballot form to determine that, I would think. Those chads in Florida, for example, could have been taken several ways, especially with write-in candidates.

Quote:
Survey Sample Sizes and Margin of Error (link)
The margin of error in a sample = 1 divided by the square root of the number of people in the sample
That's assuming p is almost equal to q. And you're talking two std deviations, right?

Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, by Paul G. Hoel
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  #51  
Old Nov 27, '16, 11:14 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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And this. I agree January 20th can't come quick enough for me either.
That's when the honeymoon starts. But I'm sure that Ryan and McConnell will make it short.
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  #52  
Old Nov 27, '16, 12:21 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
One would have to look at the actual ballot form to determine that, I would think. Those chads in Florida, for example, could have been taken several ways, especially with write-in candidates.
they have actually looked various errors such as stray marks, chads, etc...

Quote:
Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
That's assuming p is almost equal to q. And you're talking two std deviations, right?
Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, by Paul G. Hoel
I hadn't intended to give a treatise on basic statistics and I think this does nothing more than cloud the issue...

I don't have access to Dr. Hoel's textbook; however, given the title, I can only guess that you are talking about Q as in q=1-p as one would have in a Bernoulli Trail (which this could potentially classified as such if the examiner's own bias doesn't preclude the equal probability of success/failure of the individual trail). However, I suspect that you are really after, the q-value that takes into account only those trail results that are below the selected threshold (which I think more likely given that offsetting the examiner bias might have the taken into account), unlike a p-value that deals with percentage of false positives to expect for the entire number of trails being ran?

In this case, the sample population should be large enough that the results would approach the population; thus, it wouldn't be unreasonable that these could potentially approach parity depending on what your threshold criteria is as one could see in testing such as in RNA sequencing - (this document has a much better explanation than I care to get into within a forum not related to mathematics: (http://www.science.smith.edu/cmbs/wp...in-RNA-Seq.pdf). In either case, 95% confidence interval wouldn't be unreasonable for the vote count against error in the determination of the intended selection.

Either accept the 2% or don't, it really doesn't matter to me; however, the 2% I suggested in my earlier post for the potential erroneous vote count wasn't a value from my own research but the value as given in the research of several other individuals, peer reviewed in many cases, and included in the information in a government publication.; thus, experts within the field.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 12:40 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Now how exactly would you do that? And making sure there is no voter suppression at the same time? They have been deporting legal citizens too, or haven't you heard?
Just checking ID would be a start. Or enforcing laws that prevent voter fraud.
Wouldn't have many illegal citizens voting if a punishment were forthcoming. Don't see a lot of voter fraud with felons.


I could have voted at the very least 20 times in my city and probably another 20 in my former state.
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  #54  
Old Nov 27, '16, 2:00 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

A new and ridiculous tweet from Donald Trump:

Donald J. Trump ✔ @realDonaldTrump
In addition to winning the Electoral College in a landslide, I won the popular vote if you deduct the millions of people who voted illegally
12:30 PM - 27 Nov 2016

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016...ts-sad-n688761

He just can't stand the fact that Clinton won the popular vote by at least 2 million votes.
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  #55  
Old Nov 27, '16, 2:08 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Thorolfr View Post
A new and ridiculous tweet from Donald Trump:

Donald J. Trump ✔ @realDonaldTrump
In addition to winning the Electoral College in a landslide, I won the popular vote if you deduct the millions of people who voted illegally
12:30 PM - 27 Nov 2016

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016...ts-sad-n688761

He just can't stand the fact that Clinton won the popular vote by at least 2 million votes.
He shouldn't care. The election nationwide popular vote means nothing.
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  #56  
Old Nov 27, '16, 2:18 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by JonNC View Post
He shouldn't care. The election nationwide popular vote means nothing.
Mr. Trump's loss of the popular vote by such a large margin (over 2 million votes) is still meaningful in that it demonstrates that he did not receive any sort of overwhelming popular "mandate" for many of the policies he will likely try to implement. A shift of only about 107,000 votes in only three states (Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania) would have left Clinton the winner of both the electoral college and the popular vote. That 107,000 votes that allowed Trump to carry the electoral college is only a fraction of the vote margin by which Clinton won the popular vote.
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  #57  
Old Nov 27, '16, 2:19 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Hoosier Daddy View Post
I could have voted at the very least 20 times in my city and probably another 20 in my former state.
That's another thing. Too many have dual addresses. In Florida they call them "snowbirds," spend 6 months there in the winter, 6 months at a northern city.

I hope the polling places don't accept those with PO boxes and such.

The homeless are another story.
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  #58  
Old Nov 27, '16, 2:21 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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He shouldn't care. The election nationwide popular vote means nothing.
He shouldn't but he knows he doesn't have the political mandate he wishes he had.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 2:45 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
=Thorolfr;14312080]Mr. Trump's loss of the popular vote by such a large margin (over 2 million votes) is still meaningful in that it demonstrates that he did not receive any sort of overwhelming popular "mandate" for many of the policies he will likely try to implement.
It means he was very unpopular in two states - New York, but mainly California. All that means is Clinton got the electoral votes from New York and California. That's all it means. It means nothing to any other state and how they voted.

Quote:
A shift of only about 107,000 votes in only three states (Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania) would have left Clinton the winner of both the electoral college and the popular vote. That 107,000 votes that allowed Trump to carry the electoral college is only a fraction of the vote margin by which Clinton won the popular vote.
70,000 give or take in PA. 27,000 give or take in Wisconsin. 11,000 give or take in Michigan. Those numbers only mean something in those states. But you are right, had that happened, or Clinton had carried Florida and North Carolina, and she's president.
It is a mistake, however, to think of the election in terms of a plebiscite of a national vote, because it isn't. It is actually 51 elections in 50 sovereign states and DC. The national popular vote means nothing.

Jon
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  #60  
Old Nov 27, '16, 3:11 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

In this article http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/20/us...al-debate.html

A quote from there...
“That’s horrifying,” Mrs. Clinton replied. “Let’s be clear about what he is saying and what that means. He is denigrating — he is talking down our democracy. And I am appalled that someone who is the nominee of one of our two major parties would take that position.”

No mention of Clinton's original stance of it being "horrifying" from any of the big media.

Does anyone really have any doubts how in the tank the mainstream media is for the party of death? 
 
Nov 27, '16, 3:23 pm
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Question Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
Now how exactly would you do that? And making sure there is no voter suppression at the same time? They have been deporting legal citizens too, or haven't you heard?
Quote:
Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
That's another thing. Too many have dual addresses. In Florida they call them "snowbirds," spend 6 months there in the winter, 6 months at a northern city.

I hope the polling places don't accept those with PO boxes and such.

The homeless are another story.
Well it will never be perfect. There will be fraud. Usually on the democrat or liberal side. I know many social service types who understand how to manipulate those on the fringes to vote the way they want. Unions have been downright mafia/fascist in thier propoganda and strong arming of members to vote a certain way. But the estimate of 3 million illegal immigrant votes this election should alarm anyone who is a patriot. Imagine 3 million Americans crossing a border and voting in another country's democracy. Well, maybe Mexico wouldn't be a place to flee from if we did that, or Canada would have a better PM....

As an American I view it as an act of war.
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  #62  
Old Nov 27, '16, 3:33 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by JonNC View Post
He shouldn't care. The election nationwide popular vote means nothing.
You got it!
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  #63  
Old Nov 27, '16, 3:34 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
He shouldn't but he knows he doesn't have the political mandate he wishes he had.
I doubt that the recount will change anything. But it's still worth it just to get under Donald's skin. It seems to be working based on the tweet storm from Trump Tower.

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  #64  
Old Nov 27, '16, 3:52 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Thorolfr View Post
I doubt that the recount will change anything. But it's still worth it just to get under Donald's skin. It seems to be working based on the tweet storm from Trump Tower.

Lol. People still haven't learned that trump doesn't bluster for its own sake. There is a method to his madness and you won't find out till your side loses.

Funny how liberals don't get disturbed by the ridiculous protests and recount effort but by a tweet from trump.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 4:04 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Thorolfr View Post
I doubt that the recount will change anything. But it's still worth it just to get under Donald's skin. It seems to be working based on the tweet storm from Trump Tower.

That's wishful thinking.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 4:33 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by JonNC View Post
That's wishful thinking.
Trump should accept the fact that no President will get a 100% approval rating. In fact he should be happy to get 50%. That's 150,000,000 million who either despise you or don't care for you. Big shocker for one who never had held a political office.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 4:38 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
Trump should accept the fact that no President will get a 100% approval rating. In fact he should be happy to get 50%. That's 150,000,000 million who either despise you or don't care for you. Big shocker for one who never had held a political office.
I officiated high school football and basketball for a long time. Never felt the love.
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  #68  
Old Nov 27, '16, 6:26 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Trump tweeted today, "In addition to winning the Electoral College in a landslide, I won the popular vote if you deduct the millions of people who voted illegally."

I'm no fan of the blogger Matt Walsh, but I do find his post on this...intriguing:

Quote:
Two problems:

First, it's an abject lie. There is no evidence that "millions" of votes were made illegally. The future president is making wild, conspiratorial claims without the slightest concern about whether those claims have any relation to the truth whatsoever. I imagine him employing this same tactic as president when it comes to matters of national security, where lives are at stake, and it gives me a very queasy feeling.

Second, the Clinton camp is trying to get a recount in several states. The man who WON has now JUSTIFIED those recounts by claiming that millions of votes were illegitimate. By his own words, a national recount of every vote must be conducted. That's according to Trump himself. The guy who won. The guy who won just questioned the legitimacy of his own win.

And why? Because of his pride. Even though he won, he can't stomach the idea that fewer people voted for him than Clinton. So, just to service his damned vanity, he undermined his own win and called into question the authenticity of a voting process that just resulted in him becoming president.

We are in for four years of this ****, folks. And I'm not going to play along. I refuse. Trump is wrong here. He's lying. He's being a prideful, reckless idiot and he deserves to be raked over the coals for it. And those who defend him on this deserve to be criticized right along with him.
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  #69  
Old Nov 27, '16, 6:32 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by gracepoole View Post
Trump tweeted today, "In addition to winning the Electoral College in a landslide, I won the popular vote if you deduct the millions of people who voted illegally."

I'm no fan of the blogger Matt Walsh, but I do find his post on this...intriguing:
Quote:
We are in for four years of this ****, folks. And I'm not going to play along. I refuse. Trump is wrong here. He's lying. He's being a prideful, reckless idiot and he deserves to be raked over the coals for it. And those who defend him on this deserve to be criticized right along with him.
and so ends the right to free speech.

sigh
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Old Nov 27, '16, 6:40 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by z_0101 View Post
and so ends the right to free speech.

sigh
Having freedom of speech doesn't protect one against criticism.
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  #71  
Old Nov 27, '16, 6:41 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by queenofheartscv View Post
I have no problem with Trump's tweet.
He's flagrantly making false claims. This doesn't bother you?
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  #72  
Old Nov 27, '16, 6:47 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

You have got to watch these Dems during recounts - they seem to be able to find uncounted votes here, there, and everywhere. This was what happened during the recount when Al Franken won as Senator in Minnesota some years back - "uncounted" votes were conveniently popping up all over the place.
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Old Nov 27, '16, 7:06 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by Adonia View Post
You have got to watch these Dems during recounts - they seem to be able to find uncounted votes here, there, and everywhere. This was what happened during the recount when Al Franken won as Senator in Minnesota some years back - "uncounted" votes were conveniently popping up all over the place.
Same thing happened to Dino Rossi in the Washington 2004 governor race.
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  #74  
Old Nov 27, '16, 8:09 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by gracepoole View Post
He's flagrantly making false claims. This doesn't bother you?
You have no idea how many illegals voted.
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  #75  
Old Nov 27, '16, 8:16 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by Adonia View Post
You have got to watch these Dems during recounts - they seem to be able to find uncounted votes here, there, and everywhere. This was what happened during the recount when Al Franken won as Senator in Minnesota some years back - "uncounted" votes were conveniently popping up all over the place.
Yep..
Can't wait for this again:
Miraculous "missing" ballots found.
Felons voting in metro areas.
Many people voting twice.
And yet the courts seemed to always rule that these votes had to be counted.
The supposedly under-counted votes tilted more than 2/3 for the Democrat
 
 
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by LeafByNiggle View Post
Trump used the media to his advantage much better than Clinton. Not that the media favored him or anything. He is just more expert at it.
He may be skilled at using the media, but that fact is far outweighed by the fact that the great majority of the media was biased for Clinton (or any secular, pro-choice politician). The media may have leaned towards Trump in the primaries, as opposed to conservative, pro religious Republicans, but once he was perceived as somewhat prolife, somewhat anti-secular agenda, heavily anti-big government, he was trashed by most of the media.

Other than banning or limiting abortion, there is no greater priority in my mind than breaking up the giant media corporations. Nobody should own more than one cable channel, more than one major newspaper, more than one TV station. This would break up some of the few conservative empires too, which is fine with me, but by far the giant media conglomerates are to the secular left.
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Old Dec 8, '16, 1:59 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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He may be skilled at using the media, but that fact is far outweighed by the fact that the great majority of the media was biased for Clinton (or any secular, pro-choice politician). The media may have leaned towards Trump in the primaries, as opposed to conservative, pro religious Republicans, but once he was perceived as somewhat prolife, somewhat anti-secular agenda, heavily anti-big government, he was trashed by most of the media.

Other than banning or limiting abortion, there is no greater priority in my mind than breaking up the giant media corporations. Nobody should own more than one cable channel, more than one major newspaper, more than one TV station. This would break up some of the few conservative empires too, which is fine with me, but by far the giant media conglomerates are to the secular left.
The media, of which I will include comedy news shows and late night shows were pro trump I the primaries for 2 reasons. 1. Ratings
2. They ( wrongly) believed the best chance for Hillary would be to have her opponent be perceived as a clown.

Once the nomination was secured they ran with the idea of a brokered convention and the end of the Republican Party. ( if that sounds familiar it's because they are now running with an electoral college fight..


I am still basking in the afterglow of this win.
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  #393  
Old Dec 8, '16, 2:05 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Hoosier Daddy View Post
The media, of which I will include comedy news shows and late night shows were pro trump I the primaries for 2 reasons. 1. Ratings
2. They ( wrongly) believed the best chance for Hillary would be to have her opponent be perceived as a clown.
Hillary was more challenged with Sanders than with Trump.
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  #394  
Old Dec 8, '16, 2:11 pm
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Hillary was more challenged with Sanders than with Trump.
Well, she was challenged. I'm not sure more than trump. I wonder if after a tone of reflection the DNC will rethink super delegates. Though I think Bernie would have been beaten worse. I think they ran thier toughest candidate. It played to a historical first in a time of inclusion and she had experience and savvy. Without super delegates I'm not sure sanders would have been seen as the direct challenger. But because he could play the "unfair" card he garnered a lot of support.

Hillary should have played the gender card. It would have worked.
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  #395  
Old Dec 9, '16, 3:08 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Recount update:
Quote:
Trump/Pence originally led Clinton/Kaine by 22,177. So far, not including the City of Milwaukee, Clinton/Kaine have gained 61 more votes than Trump/Pence, but still trail.

Including the December 7 results, Trump/Pence are up 495 votes, Clinton/Kaine are up 556 votes, Castle/Bradley are up 20 votes, Johnson/Weld are up 63 votes, Stein/Baraka are up 64 votes, Moorehead/Lilly are up 8 votes, and De la Fuente/Steinberg are up 15 votes.
Source:
https://www.google.com/amp/fox6now.c...?client=safari
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  #396  
Old Dec 9, '16, 4:59 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Hoosier Daddy View Post
Well, she was challenged. I'm not sure more than trump. I wonder if after a tone of reflection the DNC will rethink super delegates. Though I think Bernie would have been beaten worse. I think they ran thier toughest candidate. It played to a historical first in a time of inclusion and she had experience and savvy. Without super delegates I'm not sure sanders would have been seen as the direct challenger. But because he could play the "unfair" card he garnered a lot of support.

Hillary should have played the gender card. It would have worked.
I think she did play it and it did not work. She came with too much baggage and she was an uninspiring candidate.
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  #397  
Old Dec 9, '16, 5:52 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

WI Elections Commission: Recount 82% complete; Clinton gains 61 votes on President-elect Trump

http://fox6now.com/2016/12/08/wiscon...t-elect-trump/
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  #398  
Old Dec 9, '16, 6:15 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Hillary set her campaign strategy by focus group, not personal conviction.

Only Wall Street paid enough to hear her personal conviction on the issues.
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  #399  
Old Dec 9, '16, 7:57 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by LeafByNiggle View Post
You must be thinking of someone else. From the night of the election, I was resigned to having Trump as president, and have even been looking for signs of hope from him that he would be a unifier. What I do object to is the false narrative that somehow this election was any sort of a resounding mandate to ignore the desired policies of half the nation and cater only to the policies favored by those who supported Trump. That would be a mistake.
I'm inclined to agree with you here. When I think of clear victories where the president-elect could be said to have a mandate, I think of Reagan in 1984. Trump in 2016? Not so much. Where our nation is at right now, I just don't think we'll see any blowouts for quite some time in the presidential race.

Obviously, this doesn't effect the final income. But it is something Trump—and all of us—should keep in mind. The country is divided on a great many issues. We need to find ways to work together rather than polarizing people even more than they already are.
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Old Dec 9, '16, 8:58 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
I am still basking in the afterglow of this win.
The nevertrumpers are the ones making it unavoidably enjoyable with their hysterical reactions even to those of us who voted for others in the primary.
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  #401  
Old Dec 9, '16, 2:23 pm
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Originally Posted by Joe 5859 View Post
Obviously, this doesn't effect the final income. But it is something Trump—and all of us—should keep in mind. The country is divided on a great many issues. We need to find ways to work together rather than polarizing people even more than they already are.
As long as we have winners and losers in elections, this is not too likely to happen. Probably the only President I know who was able to unite the country was Gerald Ford, who never received votes for the top office.
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Old Dec 9, '16, 3:08 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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I'm inclined to agree with you here. When I think of clear victories where the president-elect could be said to have a mandate, I think of Reagan in 1984. Trump in 2016? Not so much. Where our nation is at right now, I just don't think we'll see any blowouts for quite some time in the presidential race.

Obviously, this doesn't effect the final income. But it is something Trump—and all of us—should keep in mind. The country is divided on a great many issues. We need to find ways to work together rather than polarizing people even more than they already are.
It would be nice to have unity, but realistically it won't happen - probably should not happen, in our lifetime. We don't have liberals vs conservatives anymore, we have:
1. much of the nation who believes some truths are absolute, abortion is murder, life a gift from God; and marriage something created by God, both life and marriage predating government;
and...
2. much of the nation, backed by the media, believes society can redefine rights of life, and the nature of marriage, however it wants; that government is the agency that can redefine these, and other rights, rather than rights being inherent, from a Creator.

The craving for unity at any cost will lead to continuing acceptance of #2, above.

Those who continue to believe in #1 above will continue to be attacked as divisive. So be it. We have our obvious enemies, but our not-so-obvious enemies are those who crave compromise, who want to "bring us together" in reconciliation, who really lead us towards #2. There are situations where if you do the right thing you will be attacked for polarizing. But we really are not driving people apart, we simply are pointing out where people are actually standing. It is dishonest to pretend this is still the 1960s, with liberals and conservatives, all of whom still believed in absolute dogmas of truth and right, but needed to compromise on the non essentials. It is a different world now.
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  #403  
Old Dec 9, '16, 5:43 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by commenter View Post
It would be nice to have unity, but realistically it won't happen - probably should not happen, in our lifetime. We don't have liberals vs conservatives anymore, we have:
1. much of the nation who believes some truths are absolute, abortion is murder, life a gift from God; and marriage something created by God, both life and marriage predating government;
and...
2. much of the nation, backed by the media, believes society can redefine rights of life, and the nature of marriage, however it wants; that government is the agency that can redefine these, and other rights, rather than rights being inherent, from a Creator.
It is apparent in so many ways that the divide over abortion was not even in the top 10 among reasons people got so polarized. Just a few reasons: Trump's lackluster support of the pro-life issues. The noticeable lack of much campaigning by either side on the abortion issue. The issues that really marked the divide: Immigration. Terrorism. Gun control. Jobs. Foreign trade agreements. Health care. These are the issues the candidates talked about in all their campaign speeches. These are the issues that the candidates talked about in the debates. These are the issues that average voters talked about when asked. And many of these issues are issues for which some compromise is possible.

To say now that there should not be unity is to ignore the fact that half the nation prefers positions contrary to those Trump campaigned on. And I am not talking about abortion. Very few people are. It is wrong to pretend that the polarization in the US is over mainly over this issue and resign ourselves to four years of permanent distrust of half the population of the country. We do have to live with each other whether we agree with their politics or not.
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  #404  
Old Dec 9, '16, 7:18 pm
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Originally Posted by mary bobo View Post
I think she did play it and it did not work. She came with too much baggage and she was an uninspiring candidate.
No, the media and talking heads tried to play that card but she didn't until her concession speech which was almost SOLEY about the "female".
I am a conservative, I detest the clintons and have little respect for the liberal mindset, but if her campaigned focused on the feminine, not only would she have won but she might have even had voters like me with my four girls with me in the voting booth.

As it stood, she campaigned as the "polititian" vs the circus sideshow. Polititians should know, the side show wins.
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  #405  
Old Dec 9, '16, 7:21 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by LeafByNiggle View Post
It is apparent in so many ways that the divide over abortion was not even in the top 10 among reasons people got so polarized. Just a few reasons: Trump's lackluster support of the pro-life issues. The noticeable lack of much campaigning by either side on the abortion issue. The issues that really marked the divide: Immigration. Terrorism. Gun control. Jobs. Foreign trade agreements. Health care. These are the issues the candidates talked about in all their campaign speeches. These are the issues that the candidates talked about in the debates. These are the issues that average voters talked about when asked. And many of these issues are issues for which some compromise is possible.

To say now that there should not be unity is to ignore the fact that half the nation prefers positions contrary to those Trump campaigned on. And I am not talking about abortion. Very few people are. It is wrong to pretend that the polarization in the US is over mainly over this issue and resign ourselves to four years of permanent distrust of half the population of the country. We do have to live with each other whether we agree with their politics or not.
IF she lost the catholic vote, which I still don't think she did, (yes I saw the report that trump won the Catholic vote and I flat out don't believe it) then abortion would have been the absolute deciding factor in losing that demographic.
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Dec 9, '16, 7:46 pm
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Originally Posted by Hoosier Daddy View Post
IF she lost the catholic vote, which I still don't think she did, (yes I saw the report that trump won the Catholic vote and I flat out don't believe it) then abortion would have been the absolute deciding factor in losing that demographic.
Yes, that is true. But that does not mean it is a good thing for the country to remain highly polarized, which was the only point I was arguing against.
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  #407  
Old Dec 9, '16, 11:01 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Yes, that is true. But that does not mean it is a good thing for the country to remain highly polarized, which was the only point I was arguing against.
Then the non-Trump folks need to accept that they lost and no recount or protest will change that.
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  #408  
Old Dec 10, '16, 2:21 am
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Then the non-Trump folks need to accept that they lost and no recount or protest will change that.
Amen. Short, sweet and to the point.
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  #409  
Old Dec 10, '16, 4:40 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Then the non-Trump folks need to accept that they lost and no recount or protest will change that.
Only a very few have not done that already.
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  #410  
Old Dec 10, '16, 6:18 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Wisconsin election officials reported Friday nearly 89 percent of the ballots cast for president had been counted. Clinton had gained just 49 votes.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireS...count-44079681

I guess our elections are pretty accurate.
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  #411  
Old Dec 10, '16, 7:03 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Wisconsin election officials reported Friday nearly 89 percent of the ballots cast for president had been counted. Clinton had gained just 49 votes.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireS...count-44079681

I guess our elections are pretty accurate.
....in Wisconsin.

I've read of irregularities in Michigan.
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  #412  
Old Dec 10, '16, 7:10 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Stylteralmaldo View Post
....in Wisconsin.

I've read of irregularities in Michigan.
To most liberals, they are the exact same place....
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  #413  
Old Dec 10, '16, 12:19 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by SuperLuigi View Post
Then the non-Trump folks need to accept that they lost and no recount or protest will change that.
They are still counting the absentee votes and as long as she's gaining there that will continue to make news, just like the weather report.
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  #414  
Old Dec 10, '16, 7:25 pm
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Originally Posted by LeafByNiggle View Post
As dvdjs pointed out, if fewer than 0.1% of the votes had changed for Clinton, the math shows she would have won. If that is not a technical squeaker, I don't know what is.
Yep, that definitely qualifies as a squeaker.
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Old Dec 10, '16, 8:05 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Hoosier Daddy View Post
IF she lost the catholic vote, which I still don't think she did, (yes I saw the report that trump won the Catholic vote and I flat out don't believe it) then abortion would have been the absolute deciding factor in losing that demographic.
Are you sure it wasn't the anti-catholic rhetoric, or the plans to infiltrate and undermine the Catholic Church emanating from Clinton operatives. ?
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  #416  
Old Dec 10, '16, 8:46 pm
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Are you sure it wasn't the anti-catholic rhetoric, or the plans to infiltrate and undermine the Catholic Church emanating from Clinton operatives. ?
They never happened. Don't you know? Anything that sheds bad light on liberals is just fake news Russian propoganda?
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  #417  
Old Dec 10, '16, 8:50 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Are you sure it wasn't the anti-catholic rhetoric, or the plans to infiltrate and undermine the Catholic Church emanating from Clinton operatives. ?
Exactly.
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  #418  
Old Dec 10, '16, 9:40 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Hoosier Daddy View Post
Well, she was challenged. I'm not sure more than trump. I wonder if after a tone of reflection the DNC will rethink super delegates. Though I think Bernie would have been beaten worse. I think they ran thier toughest candidate. It played to a historical first in a time of inclusion and she had experience and savvy. Without super delegates I'm not sure sanders would have been seen as the direct challenger. But because he could play the "unfair" card he garnered a lot of support.

Hillary should have played the gender card. It would have worked.
I think she would've if she knew it would work. But Trump was seen as so anti-woman (incorrectly so despite his rhetoric) it would be like squeezing blood from a turnip.

People are just sick to death of political correctness.
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Old Dec 10, '16, 9:46 pm
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Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
They are still counting the absentee votes and as long as she's gaining there that will continue to make news, just like the weather report.
They'll drag this out as long as possible, but the left, especially the young left, doesn't have the stomach for longevity, even against Trump.

Unsurprisingly, they have to pay many of these protesters and even gave goodies to Democrats to show up and vote for Clinton. That's actually why I thought she would win--because that is a real ground game---- and Trump--- I don't know if he ever understood that crowds and ratings do NOT equal votes.

There will be a spike in opposition for Inauguration Day, but really, they can't manufacture this forever. Their attention span is too short and Trump's approval has increased by over 50%.

And remember, every dollar they waste on this is one dollar less for 2018 and 2020.
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  #420  
Old Dec 12, '16, 9:03 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
By the end of the day on Saturday, precincts that had reported 91.32% of the original vote totals have completed their recounts.
Quote:
The net change in ballot counts from the 91.32% votes from completed precincts: 1,480 added, which makes the change 0.0551% of the original count in those completed precincts. The change in vote totals for each candidate:

Trump: +628
Clinton: +691
Stein: +68
Johnson: +76
With only eight percent of precincts left to report official recount results (including all of the city of Milwaukee), Jill Stein has only managed to reduce Trump’s lead by 63 votes. To change the outcome of the election, Wisconsin would have to find changes that would produce a 22,555-vote difference in the final 255,000 or so votes left to tally. That would require a change of 8.84% at a minimum — and every change would have to be in favor of Hillary Clinton. It’s not going to happen.
http://hotair.com/archives/2016/12/1...ated-futility/
 
 
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Are you sure it wasn't the anti-catholic rhetoric, or the plans to infiltrate and undermine the Catholic Church emanating from Clinton operatives. ?
I can't believe you guys think that Catholics in Alliance for the Common Good are some sort of subversive organization that wants to destroy the Catholic Church. They were created after being motivated by Pope Francis. They still exist out in the open; You can take a look to see what they are up to. I see them support Pope Francis more than the conservative groups/people I follow. Yes they are political but I believe their purpose is to bring Catholic teaching into American politics so it's not a surprise.

This was a con, pure and simple.

ETA: I'm not sure I've ever seen them say anything that respected groups like Franciscan Action Network say. I really don't understand the controversy.
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  #422  
Old Dec 12, '16, 9:23 am
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Originally Posted by _Abyssinia View Post
After the fact, we can say the recount was a waste of time. OTOH, even if it was found that Clinton had really won the electoral vote, then what? A do-over? That would cause more trouble and hostility than it is worth, and no way is it going to happen. The 2016 election is over; onto the next major political issue.
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  #423  
Old Dec 12, '16, 10:15 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by SuperLuigi View Post
They'll drag this out as long as possible, but the left, especially the young left, doesn't have the stomach for longevity, even against Trump.

Unsurprisingly, they have to pay many of these protesters and even gave goodies to Democrats to show up and vote for Clinton. That's actually why I thought she would win--because that is a real ground game---- and Trump--- I don't know if he ever understood that crowds and ratings do NOT equal votes.

There will be a spike in opposition for Inauguration Day, but really, they can't manufacture this forever. Their attention span is too short and Trump's approval has increased by over 50%.

And remember, every dollar they waste on this is one dollar less for 2018 and 2020.
By law all votes must be counted. I presume both parties have the required representation.
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  #424  
Old Dec 12, '16, 10:23 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by meltzerboy View Post
After the fact, we can say the recount was a waste of time. OTOH, even if it was found that Clinton had really won the electoral vote, then what? A do-over? That would cause more trouble and hostility than it is worth, and no way is it going to happen. The 2016 election is over; onto the next major political issue.
If there is doubt, for example, if those absentees were thrown into the wrong state buckets, I can easily see a lot of ambiguity there, the electors should not vote for either Clinton or Trump, and throw the selection to the House.
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Old Dec 12, '16, 11:09 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by J_Peterson View Post
I can't believe you guys think that Catholics in Alliance for the Common Good are some sort of subversive organization that wants to destroy the Catholic Church. They were created after being motivated by Pope Francis. They still exist out in the open; You can take a look to see what they are up to. I see them support Pope Francis more than the conservative groups/people I follow. Yes they are political but I believe their purpose is to bring Catholic teaching into American politics so it's not a surprise.

This was a con, pure and simple.

ETA: I'm not sure I've ever seen them say anything that respected groups like Franciscan Action Network say. I really don't understand the controversy.
http://www.catholicleague.org/soros-...s-dishonest-2/ Soros funded Catholics

http://www.catholicworldreport.com/I...ng_emails.aspx Fake Groups
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  #426  
Old Dec 12, '16, 11:39 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by meltzerboy View Post
After the fact, we can say the recount was a waste of time. OTOH, even if it was found that Clinton had really won the electoral vote, then what? A do-over? That would cause more trouble and hostility than it is worth, and no way is it going to happen. The 2016 election is over; onto the next major political issue.
No one has officially won yet. That will be determined Dec. 19 when the ec casts its votes. If no one reaches 270 the president will be chosen by the HOR. There may be some surprises left in light of recent developments.
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  #427  
Old Dec 12, '16, 3:48 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by oldcelt View Post
No one has officially won yet. That will be determined Dec. 19 when the ec casts its votes. If no one reaches 270 the president will be chosen by the HOR. There may be some surprises left in light of recent developments.
Thank you for the technical information. But don't you think such an event would tear the country apart even further? Sometimes I think it's better to leave well enough alone and move on. I think of Ford's pardon of Nixon, for example.
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  #428  
Old Dec 12, '16, 4:50 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by oldcelt View Post
No one has officially won yet. That will be determined Dec. 19 when the ec casts its votes. If no one reaches 270 the president will be chosen by the HOR. There may be some surprises left in light of recent developments.
Anyone from the EC who goes against their pledge to support a particular candidate,will basically be thumbing thier noses at the very people they pledged to represent.Esentially saying their votes don't count,that only the EC matters.If that should happen there will be a lot of very angry and justifyibly so ,citizens.
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  #429  
Old Dec 12, '16, 5:34 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by Jeanne S View Post
Anyone from the EC who goes against their pledge to support a particular candidate,will basically be thumbing thier noses at the very people they pledged to represent.Esentially saying their votes don't count,that only the EC matters.If that should happen there will be a lot of very angry and justifyibly so ,citizens.
It also sets a precedent for other people to break their pledges, "for a higher purpose". Think about witnesses and jurors, and others. Once you get away from the concept of pledging you can rationalize almost anything.
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  #430  
Old Dec 12, '16, 5:36 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

The state of Wisconsin has released the final worksheet from the recount tallies. The final numbers are:

Total votes: 2,941,034 (+1,741 from Election Night, 0.0592% change rate)
Final Trump lead: 22,779 (+162 from Election Night)
Trump added votes in recount: 874
Clinton added votes in recount: 712
Stein added votes in recount: 66
Johnson added votes in recount: 74
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  #431  
Old Dec 12, '16, 8:09 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by Jeanne S View Post
Anyone from the EC who goes against their pledge to support a particular candidate,will basically be thumbing thier noses at the very people they pledged to represent.Esentially saying their votes don't count,that only the EC matters.If that should happen there will be a lot of very angry and justifyibly so ,citizens.
The ability to freely exercise one's conscience was and is the intent of the electoral college. I would prefer it be abolished or that state electors be apportioned rather than winner take all. For now we have a system that could deny Trump the WH. 37 non or switched votes and it goes to the house.

Your representative owes you, not his industry only, but his judgment; and he betrays instead of serving you if he sacrifices it to your opinion. Edmund Burke
Read more at: https://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/q...urk166515.html
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With malice toward none; with charity for all; with firmness in the right, as God gives us to see the right, let us strive on to finish the work we are in; to bind up the nation's wounds; to care for him who shall have borne the battle, and for his widow, and his orphan..
Abraham Lincoln
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  #432  
Old Dec 12, '16, 11:17 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by J_Peterson View Post
I can't believe you guys think that Catholics in Alliance for the Common Good are some sort of subversive organization that wants to destroy the Catholic Church. They were created after being motivated by Pope Francis. They still exist out in the open; You can take a look to see what they are up to. I see them support Pope Francis more than the conservative groups/people I follow. Yes they are political but I believe their purpose is to bring Catholic teaching into American politics so it's not a surprise.

This was a con, pure and simple.

ETA: I'm not sure I've ever seen them say anything that respected groups like Franciscan Action Network say. I really don't understand the controversy.
Hopefully you are attempting humor.
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  #433  
Old Dec 13, '16, 7:08 am
Jeanne S's Avatar
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by oldcelt View Post
The ability to freely exercise one's conscience was and is the intent of the electoral college. I would prefer it be abolished or that state electors be apportioned rather than winner take all. For now we have a system that could deny Trump the WH. 37 non or switched votes and it goes to the house.

Your representative owes you, not his industry only, but his judgment; and he betrays instead of serving you if he sacrifices it to your opinion. Edmund Burke
Read more at: https://www.brainyquote.com/quotes/q...urk166515.html
Not gonna happen.This narrssistic outrage thatvTrump could not have possibly legitimately won the election,is beyond pathetic.
Funny how that works,whenever a Republucan wins,somehow he doesn't en legitimately does not have a mandate......please
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  #434  
Old Dec 13, '16, 10:15 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by commenter View Post
It also sets a precedent for other people to break their pledges, "for a higher purpose". Think about witnesses and jurors, and others. Once you get away from the concept of pledging you can rationalize almost anything.
Fair point but the Electoral College is composed of humans not robots. It's about time we meet some of them.
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  #435  
Old Dec 13, '16, 4:12 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

example of fake Catholic organization, from Catholic Culture, a reputable Catholic org:

Website Review: Catholics in Alliance for the Common Good

A review based on: http://www.catholicsinalliance.org

Catholics in Alliance for the Common Good is self-described as "a non-partisan non-profit organization dedicated to promoting the fullness of the Catholic Social Tradition in the public square. Founded in 2004, our mission is to provide information to Catholics about Church social teaching as it relates to public participation in our society, and to advance the prophetic voice of the Catholic social tradition." In reality this organization is more in line with Cardinal Bernardin's Common Ground mishmash of leftist "social justice" issues.

Voting for the Common Good: A Practical Guide for Conscientious Catholics published by Catholics in Alliance for the Common Good — which is led by former advisors to Senators John Kerry and Hillary Clinton — is nothing other than a well-funded attempt to try to persuade Catholics that it is morally acceptable to continue to vote for the “personally opposed” pro-choice candidates who have swindled them in the past.

The guide notes that there can be “no litmus test” for Catholic voters and that there is “no Catholic voting formula.” It adds that “since we seldom, if ever, have the opportunity to vote for a candidate with the right positions on all the issues important to Catholics, we often must vote for candidates who may hold the ‘wrong’ Catholic positions on some issues in order to maximize the good our vote achieves in other areas.” Then it applies these half-truths to the question which is really at the foundation of the guide: “Is it okay to vote for a pro-choice candidate?”

We recommend you look elsewhere for guidance on political issues.

Please see Dr. Jeffrey Mirus' excellent commentary on single-issue politics, and these articles from the Catholic Culture library:

Moral Principles for Catholic Voters
How Should Catholics Vote
Review Ratings what do these ratings mean?

First Evaluated: 09/11/2007; Last Updated: 09/15/2010

Fidelity: Danger!
Resources: Poor
Useability: Excellent
Strengths

None Reported.
Weaknesses

Fidelity: Questionable leadership Example(s)
Fidelity: Supported by dissident organizations Example(s)
Fidelity: Minimizes the issue of abortion Example(s)
Fidelity: Weekend with dissident Richard Rohr promoted Example(s)
Fidelity: Voter's Guide which makes abortion one of many issues Example(s)
Categories
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Dec 14, '16, 7:54 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by oldcelt View Post
The ability to freely exercise one's conscience was and is the intent of the electoral college.
Electors are not, in 2016, "representatives" of anyone. They have a right to vote, and they did that, on November 8. (Your representatives serve in Congress, not as electors). Your congress representatives pledge towards the best interests of the United States, and do that by exercising personal judgement.

A witness in a courtroom takes a pledge to carry out a certain function faithfully. So do electors. "Faithless" electors may lead to faithless courtroom witnesses, and faithless many other things, as people rationalize pledge-breaking, all the time appealing to their "conscience", which really means the media.
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  #437  
Old Dec 14, '16, 8:17 am
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by commenter View Post
Electors are not, in 2016, "representatives" of anyone. They have a right to vote, and they did that, on November 8. (Your representatives serve in Congress, not as electors). Your congress representatives pledge towards the best interests of the United States, and do that by exercising personal judgement.

A witness in a courtroom takes a pledge to carry out a certain function faithfully. So do electors. "Faithless" electors may lead to faithless courtroom witnesses, and faithless many other things, as people rationalize pledge-breaking, all the time appealing to their "conscience", which really means the media.
Why not more like jurors?
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  #438  
Old Dec 14, '16, 1:38 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

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Originally Posted by ProVobis View Post
Why not more like jurors?
Jurors, to some degree, are representatives of the community; you get a jury of your peers. They do in fact weigh the evidence, exercise personal judgement within very defined parameters. Jurors meet, and deliberate. They are not like electors.

A witness is someone brought in for a specific purpose. They don't weigh the evidence for or against. They do not exercise personal judgement. They "follow their conscience" by carrying out their role in administration of justice, which is only seen as the process as a whole, not necessarily their tiny part. Witnesses are like electors.

It is tempting for witnesses to exercise personal judgement, for instance, by omitting adding certain details to what they witnessed, so as to "send a message". A witness might, for instance, believe that "Men get away with rape too often" or "That race is too often falsely accused" or "just looking at her, I know she is innocent". A witness can abandon the task she was pledged to do, and bend it a little, to "follow her conscience".
Faithless witnesses are just as bad as faithless electors.

Some will argue that, 2 centuries ago, voters had different expectations for electors. Whatever was the pledge taken by electors 2 centuries ago, 2016 electors should follow the pledge of 2016.
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  #439  
Old Dec 16, '16, 4:18 pm
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Default Re: Wisconsin Recount Gets the Green Light

Quote:
Originally Posted by LeafByNiggle View Post
The population of the US was much smaller in Washington's day. The law and the electoral college say Trump won. We have to go along with it. But we don't have to pretend the victory was any more than it was - a technical squeaker.
That I will agree with!
 
 
 
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